What will Jackson bring to Villa with Watkins set for exit?
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Nicolas Jackson spent the 2025-26 season on loan at Bayern Munich Aston Villa have completed the signing of Nicolas Jackson in a deal worth up to £65m, with Ollie Watkins looking set to join Saudi Pro League side Al-Hilal.
尼古拉斯·杰克逊在2025-26赛季租借至拜仁慕尼黑 阿斯顿维拉完成了尼古拉斯·杰克逊的签约，交易金额高达6500万英镑，奥利·沃特金斯似乎有望加盟沙特职业联赛球队阿尔希拉尔。
Unai Emery's Villa are undergoing a major overhaul this summer, with key players including Morgan Rogers, Ezri Konsa, Youri Tielemans and Lucas Digne having already departed.
乌奈·埃默里执教的维拉队今夏正在进行重大改造，关键球员包括摩根·罗杰斯、埃兹里·孔萨、尤里·蒂勒曼斯和卢卡斯·迪涅已经离队。
Jackson, 25, joins a number of new additions including Johan Manzambi, Joao Gomes, Zion Suzuki and Matteo Ruggeri.
25岁的杰克逊加入了包括约翰·曼赞比、若昂·戈麦斯、齐安·铃木和马泰奥·鲁杰里在内的多位新援。
That level of squad disruption was evident on the opening weekend, when Emery's side slumped to a 4-0 defeat at Brighton.
这种阵容混乱在开幕周末就显而易见，埃默里的球队在布莱顿以0-4惨败。
With Watkins, 30, unavailable and both Tammy Abraham and 17-year-old Brian Madjo injured, Villa started without a recognised centre-forward - Emiliano Buendia led the line.
30岁的沃特金斯无法出场，加上塔米·亚伯拉罕和17岁的布莱恩·马乔都受伤，维拉首发缺少了一名知名中锋——埃米利亚诺·布恩迪亚领衔锋线。
The arrival of Jackson - who overtakes Manzambi to become Villa's record signing - from Chelsea gives Emery a specialist striker to work with.
杰克逊从切尔西加盟——他超越曼赞比成为维拉签约纪录的球员——为埃默里提供了一名专职前锋。
It also looks set to coincide with the end of Watkins' six-year spell at Villa, during which he scored 108 goals in 278 games and became one of the defining players of the rise under Emery.
这似乎也将与沃特金斯在维拉六年执教的结束相符，他在278场比赛中打进108球，成为埃默里麾下崛起的标志性球员之一。
However, the stats suggest Jackson is not just a like-for-like replacement for the England international - he is a different type of number nine.
然而，数据表明杰克逊不仅仅是英格兰国脚的替代者——他是另一种类型的9号。
On the surface, Jackson's numbers at Bayern Munich last season compare favourably with those of Watkins at Villa.
表面上看，杰克逊上赛季在拜仁慕尼黑的数据与沃特金斯在维拉的表现相当。
The Senegal forward scored 11 goals and provided three assists in 1,320 minutes across all competitions, averaging 1.0 goal involvements per 90 minutes.
这位塞内加尔前锋在所有赛事中共出场1320分钟，打进11球并送出3次助攻，平均每90分钟参与进球1.0次。
Watkins recorded 21 goals and five assists in 3,837 minutes, an average of 0.6 per 90. Jackson also generated more attacking opportunities.
沃特金斯在3837分钟中打进21球并助攻5次，场均每90分钟0.6球。 杰克逊还创造了更多进攻机会。
He averaged 3.8 shots per 90 compared with Watkins' 2.6, and 2.2 shots on target to 1.2. His expected-goals (xG) figure was also higher, at 0.7 per 90 compared with 0.5, while he averaged 8.5 touches in the opposition box to Watkins' 5.6.
他场均每90分钟射门3.8次，而沃特金斯为2.6次，射正2.2次，平均为1.2次。 他的预期进球数（xG）也更高，达到每90分钟0.7球，高于0.5球，同时他在对方禁区内平均触球8.5次，而沃特金斯为5.6次。
That fits a pattern which predates his spell in Germany.
这符合他在德国任期之前的模式。
Among players with at least 5,000 Premier League minutes since January 2020, only Erling Haaland has registered a higher non-penalty xG figure per 90 than Jackson's 0.55. Getting into scoring positions has rarely been Jackson's main problem - it is his ability to finish chances which has attracted scrutiny.
自2020年1月以来，在英超出场时间至少5000分钟的球员中，只有埃林·哈兰德的非罚球xG数值高于杰克逊的0.55分钟。 进入得分位置从来不是杰克逊的主要问题——他完成机会的能力引发了关注。
During his two Premier League seasons with Chelsea, he scored 14 goals from 18.7 xG in 2023-24 and 10 from 12.3 xG the following campaign.
在切尔西的两个英超赛季中，他2023-24赛季打进14球，场后18.7球，次赛季12.3球打进10球。
Jackson has converted 18 of 61 big chances in England so far, although Watkins has also missed plenty of high-value opportunities (scoring 24 of 73 since joining Villa in 2020).
杰克逊迄今为止在英格兰的61次关键机会中完成了18次，尽管沃特金斯也错失了许多高价值机会（自2020年加盟维拉以来，他73次中进了24球）。
Interestingly, last season's numbers suggest the gap between them was negligible.
有趣的是，上赛季的数据显示两者之间的差距微乎其微。
Jackson converted 19.6% of his shots and 40.9% of his big chances, compared with 18.9% and 43.2% respectively for Watkins. Watkins started 43 matches and played almost three times as many minutes.
杰克逊的投篮命中率为19.6%，关键机会命中率为40.9%，而沃特金斯分别为18.9%和43.2%。 沃特金斯首发43场比赛，出场时间几乎是他的三倍。
Jackson started only 15 of his 34 appearances, and Opta says his relatively limited, substitute-heavy sample could make some of his per-90 figures look stronger than they might over a full season. Both players were predominantly used as centre-forwards last season, making the comparison reasonably fair.
杰克逊在他的34次出场中只有15次出场，奥普塔说，他相对有限的，替补沉重的样本可能会使他的每90个数字看起来比整个赛季更强。 两名球员上赛季主要被用作中锋，使得比较相当公平。
Watkins played 100% of his 3,837 minutes as a striker, with 92% coming as the central striker in Villa's 4-2-3-1.
沃特金斯在3,837分钟的前锋中发挥了100％，92％在维拉的4-2-3-1中担任中锋。
Jackson spent 95% of his 1,320 minutes up front, with the remaining 5% on the left.
杰克逊在前面度过了他的1,320分钟的95％，剩下的5％在左边。
At Bayern, 86% of his playing time came as the striker in a 4-2-3-1. The similarity largely ends there.
在拜仁，他86%的上场时间都是4-2-3-1的前锋。 相似之处大体止于此。
Jackson averaged 46.6 open-play touches per 90, compared with Watkins' 29.5, and completed almost twice as many passes - 24 per 90 to Watkins' 11.6. He was also considerably more involved in creating and progressing attacks.
杰克逊平均每90分钟有46.6次开放式触球，而沃特金斯为29.5次，完成传球次数几乎是他的两倍——每90分钟24次，而沃特金斯为11.6次。 他也更积极地参与进攻的创造和推进。
Jackson averaged: 1.6 shot-ending carries per 90, compared with Watkins' 0.8 1.6 successful take-ons per 90, compared with 0.82 2.5 passes into the penalty area per 90, compared with 0.7. Opta's touch maps reinforce the difference.
杰克逊的平均得分： 每90分钟有1.6次终结射门的冲球，而沃特金斯为0.8次 每90次成功接球1.6次，而0.82次 每90分钟有2.5次传球进入禁区，而每90分钟有0.7次。 Opta的触控地图进一步强化了这种差异。
Watkins' involvement was concentrated more heavily around the centre of the final third and penalty area, while Jackson received possession across a wider range of attacking zones.
沃特金斯的参与更多集中在最后三分之一区和禁区的中路，而杰克逊则在更广泛的进攻区域获得控球。
Among a sample of 1,577 top-five European league strikers over the past 10 seasons, Jackson ranked in the 85th percentile for chances created, 77th for progressive carries and 73rd for touches.
在过去10个赛季中，1577名欧洲联赛前五前锋中，杰克逊创造机会排名第85百分位，推进推进排名第77，触球次数排名第73。
Watkins ranked in the 28th, 53rd and eighth percentiles respectively.
沃特金斯分别排名第28、第53和第8百分位。
That points towards Villa moving from a relatively low-touch focal point to a forward who is more comfortable becoming involved in attacks earlier. There is another possible difference when Villa lose possession.
这表明维拉将从相对低触球的焦点转变为更习惯早早参与进攻的前锋。 当维拉失去控球权时，还有另一个可能的不同。
Jackson averaged 34 high pressures per 90, slightly above Watkins' 31.4, but the distinction becomes clearer in where possession was recovered.
杰克逊场均34次高压进攻，略高于沃特金斯的31.4次，但区别在抢回球权的位置上更为明显。
Jackson won the ball 2.7 times per 90, compared with Watkins' 1.8, and regained it in the final third 0.9 times per 90 to Watkins' 0.6. His percentile for possession won in the attacking third was 88th among the Opta striker sample, compared with Watkins' 43rd.
杰克逊每90分钟抢球2.7次，沃特金斯为1.8次，并在最后三分之一区以0.9次抢回球权，沃特金斯为0.6次。 他在进攻区的控球胜率百分位位列Opta前锋样本中第88位，而沃特金斯则排名第43位。
The two were almost identical for runs in behind, Jackson averaging 13 per 90 and Watkins 12.7, although the Englishman made slightly more runs which finished inside the penalty area. Watkins also offered more aerially, winning 1.2 aerial duels per 90 compared with Jackson's 0.7, and carried the ball more directly towards goal.
两人在后场得分几乎相同，杰克逊平均每90分钟13分，沃特金斯12.7分，尽管这位英格兰球员的得分稍多，均进入禁区内。 沃特金斯在空中争夺也更多，平均每90分钟赢得1.2次空中争夺，而杰克逊仅有0.7次，并且带球更直接地朝球门方向推进。
So Jackson would not necessarily reproduce every aspect of the player he is replacing.
所以杰克逊不一定会复制他所替代球员的每一个方面。
Villa's interest also comes with an element of familiarity.
维拉的兴趣也带有熟悉感。
Emery worked with Jackson at Villarreal, where the forward made 27 appearances under him, scoring three goals and providing three assists in 1,195 minutes.
埃默里曾在比利亚雷亚尔与杰克逊合作，杰克逊在他麾下出场27次，打进3球并贡献3次助攻，出场时间为1195分钟。
Jackson has subsequently credited Emery with transforming his understanding of the game. "Unai taught me everything about football," he said, Jackson has explained that, when he arrived from Senegal, he possessed natural dribbling ability but had much less understanding of how and when to move.
杰克逊随后表示，埃默里改变了他对比赛的理解。 "乌奈教会了我所有关于足球的知识，"他说， 杰克逊解释说，他从塞内加尔来到这里时，具备天生的盘带能力，但对如何以及何时移动的理解要少得多。
Emery helped turn that instinctive talent into a more structured game. Jackson's development accelerated after Emery left Villarreal.
埃默里帮助将这种天赋转化为更有结构的比赛。 埃默里离开比利亚雷亚尔后，杰克逊的发展加速。
During the 2022-23 La Liga season he produced 0.56 non-penalty xG plus xA per 90, a rate bettered by only seven players with at least 1,500 minutes, all representing Barcelona, Real Madrid or Atletico Madrid.
在2022-23赛季西甲赛季，他每90分钟贡献了0.56的非点球xG加xA，这一数字仅有七名出场时间至少1500分钟的球员超越，均代表巴塞罗那、皇家马德里或马竞。
Unai Emery previously worked with Nicolas Jackson at Villarreal Jackson's ability to carry the ball was already evident too.
乌奈·埃默里此前曾在比利亚雷亚尔与尼古拉斯·杰克逊合作 杰克逊的带球能力也已经显而易见。
Ten of his league goal involvements followed carries, fewer only than Vinicius Jr, despite Jackson playing substantially fewer minutes.
他的十次联赛进球参与是跟随冲球，仅次于维尼修斯二世，尽管杰克逊出场时间明显少得多。
Chelsea subsequently signed him in 2023.
切尔西随后于2023年签下了他。
He scored 30 goals and supplied 12 assists in 81 appearances for the club before spending last season on loan at Bayern. His time in Munich was complicated by circumstances rather than simply performance.
他在俱乐部出场81次，打进30球并送出12次助攻，随后上赛季被租借至拜仁。 他在慕尼黑的时光不仅因表现而复杂，还因环境而复杂。
Bayern's obligation to buy would have been triggered if he reached a demanding appearance threshold, but Harry Kane remained fit and prolific, while the displays of Luis Diaz and Michael Olise limited opportunities elsewhere across the frontline.
如果拜仁达到高额出场门槛，他本应承担买入义务，但哈里·凯恩依然健康且高产，而路易斯·迪亚斯和迈克尔·奥利塞的表现限制了他前线其他位置的机会。
Jackson still produced 11 goals across all competitions, and only Kane recorded a better rate of open-play Bundesliga goals per 90. Bayern coach Vincent Kompany publicly defended him when criticism resurfaced, pointing to the quality of the forwards ahead of him and saying Jackson had trained and performed well.
杰克逊在各项赛事中依然打进11球，只有凯恩的德甲开放式进球率每90分钟更高。 拜仁主帅文森特·孔帕尼在批评再次浮出水面时公开为他辩护，指出前锋的质量，并称杰克逊训练和表现都很出色。
Watkins has provided Villa with reliability, running power and goals throughout one of the club's most successful periods of the modern era. Jackson arrives with a different profile.
沃特金斯在俱乐部现代最成功的时期之一，为维拉提供了可靠性、强势的跑动和进球。 杰克逊以不同的身份出现。
He is five years younger, gets more touches, carries the ball more frequently, creates more for others and, in limited minutes last season, generated shots and high-quality chances at an impressive rate.
他比他小五岁，触球次数更多，持球次数更频繁，为队友创造更多机会，上赛季在有限的上场时间内，以令人印象深刻的速度创造了射门和高质量机会。
There remain questions around whether those per-90 numbers would survive a heavier workload, while his finishing record at Chelsea explains why doubts have followed him.
关于这些90的数字是否能够承受更大的工作量仍然存在疑问，而他在切尔西的最终记录解释了为什么他一直在怀疑。
But Villa are not buying an unknown quantity.
但我们不买一个未知的数量。
Emery has coached Jackson before, knows the qualities he wants to develop and would be replacing a 30-year-old striker with a 25-year-old whose underlying numbers suggest there may still be considerable room to improve.
埃默里曾经执教过杰克逊，知道他想要发展的素质，并将用一名25岁的前锋取代一名30岁的前锋，他的基本数据表明可能还有很大的改进空间。
If Jackson joins and Watkins does depart, the Europa League winners will be doing more than just changing their centre-forwards.
如果杰克逊加盟，沃特金斯离开，欧联冠军将做的不仅仅是改变他们的中锋。
They will be changing the way their number nine plays. Pre-match, post-match and topical Villa content Watkins apologised for refusing to play - Emery Will a Premier League club break record for transfer sales in one window?
他们将改变他们的九号球员的打法。 赛前、赛后及时事维拉内容 沃特金斯为拒绝上场道歉——埃默里 英超俱乐部会在一个转会窗口内打破转会销售纪录吗？
Ipswich move to take Villa's Abraham on loan
伊普斯维奇将租借维拉的亚伯拉罕
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