What a US diesel export ban could mean for you
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US President Donald Trump has said he would back a ban on diesel producers selling overseas as surging fuel prices hit drivers ahead of the midterm elections.
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示，由于中期选举前燃油价格飙升对司机造成打击，他将支持禁止柴油生产商向海外销售的禁令。
Diesel prices are hovering near a record $6.45 per gallon on average, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA), due to the ongoing US-Israel war with Iran and tight global supplies.
根据美国汽车协会 (AAA) 的数据，由于美以与伊朗的战争持续以及全球供应紧张，柴油价格徘徊在每加仑创纪录的 6.45 美元附近。
Trump and his backers say a US diesel export ban would protect domestic consumers from those rising costs, but experts say it could trigger major economic waves both at home and across the world if it were to happen.
特朗普及其支持者表示，美国柴油出口禁令将保护国内消费者免受成本上涨的影响，但专家表示，如果真的发生，可能会引发国内外的重大经济浪潮。
The US is one of the world's leading energy producers, with domestic refineries churning out roughly four to five million barrels of diesel every day, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
根据美国能源情报署 (EIA) 的数据，美国是世界领先的能源生产国之一，国内炼油厂每天生产约四到五百万桶柴油。
Americans consume about 3.6 million barrels of that daily output. Refiners export the remaining1.2 to 1.5 million barrels per day, making the US a vital supplier to the global market.
美国人消耗了日产量中的约 360 万桶。 炼油厂每天出口剩余的 1.2 至 150 万桶，使美国成为全球市场的重要供应国。
Between 60% and 70% of this exported fuel goes to Latin America. Nations like Mexico, Brazil, Chile, and Ecuador depend heavily on American shipments to power their transport, farming, and factory sectors.
出口燃料的 60% 至 70% 销往拉丁美洲。 墨西哥、巴西、智利和厄瓜多尔等国家严重依赖美国的运输来为其运输、农业和工厂部门提供动力。
Significant volumes also head across the Atlantic to European countries like France, the Netherlands, and the UK, as buyers search for alternatives to Middle Eastern supplies.
随着买家寻找中东供应的替代品，大量货物也跨越大西洋运往法国、荷兰和英国等欧洲国家。
US diesel prices have climbed to a record high of over $6.50 per gallon – up nearly 70% year-on-year.
美国柴油价格已攀升至每加仑 6.50 美元以上的历史新高，同比上涨近 70%。
The spike has been driven by broader energy market shocks tied to ongoing conflict with Iran, which has restricted critical shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway south of Iran through which one fifth of the world's oil and gas usually flows.
油价飙升是由与伊朗持续冲突有关的更广泛的能源市场冲击推动的，这场冲突限制了通过霍尔木兹海峡的关键航运路线，霍尔木兹海峡是伊朗南部的水道，世界上五分之一的石油和天然气通常流经该海峡。
Diesel primarily fuels commercial vehicles in the US – such as freight trucks, farm machinery, and cargo trains – which are used for transporting goods and construction.
在美国，柴油主要为商用车辆（例如货运卡车、农业机械和货运列车）提供燃料，这些车辆用于运输货物和建筑。
This means higher diesel prices can drive up the price of food, building projects, and many other things.
这意味着柴油价格上涨可能会推高食品、建筑项目和许多其他物品的价格。
Outside the US, diesel is used in both commercial and consumer vehicles, but the effects of higher prices are similar.
在美国以外的地区，商用车和消费车都使用柴油，但价格上涨的影响是相似的。
In the UK, diesel prices at the pump have hit an all-time high, prompting warnings about logistics costs and household budgets.
在英国，加油站的柴油价格创下历史新高，引发了有关物流成本和家庭预算的警告。
UK Chancellor John Healey has told BBC News that the UK is in talks with US authorities over a potential diesel export ban and has started preparing for it.
英国财政大臣约翰·希利告诉英国广播公司新闻，英国正在与美国当局就潜在的柴油出口禁令进行谈判，并已开始为此做好准备。
Meanwhile, in France and across continental Europe, governments are struggling with similar cost-of-living pressures because of rising fuel prices.
与此同时，在法国和整个欧洲大陆，由于燃油价格上涨，各国政府都面临着类似的生活成本压力。
Trump suggested over the weekend that restricting or outright banning US diesel exports could keep fuel in the domestic market and drive down prices for American consumers.
特朗普周末表示，限制或彻底禁止美国柴油出口可能会使燃料留在国内市场，并压低美国消费者的价格。
The president said on Sunday that the administration was "thinking about it very seriously".
总统周日表示，政府正在“非常认真地考虑这个问题”。
His comments mirror remarks made on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, where he stated that he had called to "not send out the diesel".
他的言论与联合国大会间隙的言论如出一辙，他在会上表示，他呼吁“不要发出柴油”。
Trump argues that keeping those extra barrels in the US would lower pump prices, offering immediate relief to drivers, truckers, and businesses ahead of the midterm elections.
特朗普认为，将这些额外的石油留在美国将降低油价，从而在中期选举之前立即缓解司机、卡车司机和企业的压力。
Supporters, including key Republican lawmakers like Congresswoman Ashley Hinson and Senator Dan Sullivan, view the strategy as an effective way to shield the domestic economy from foreign shocks, arguing that American energy should serve American workers first.
支持者，包括国会女议员阿什利·辛森和参议员丹·沙利文等主要共和党议员，认为该战略是保护国内经济免受外国冲击的有效方法，他们认为美国能源应该首先为美国工人服务。
For the US economy, a ban could deliver short-term relief at the pump by flooding the domestic market with excess supply.
对于美国经济来说，禁令可能会导致国内市场出现供应过剩，从而短期缓解经济压力。
However, energy analysts warn it could backfire.
然而，能源分析师警告称，这可能会适得其反。
David Fyfe, chief economist at Argus Media, notes that cutting off American supply would likely cause international prices to skyrocket.
阿格斯媒体公司首席经济学家大卫·法伊夫指出，切断美国供应可能会导致国际价格飙升。
That would push up global freight, food, and industrial costs, ultimately "feeding inflation back into the global economy".
这将推高全球货运、食品和工业成本，最终“将通胀推回全球经济”。
"At a stroke, the US's reputation as a reliable supplier of energy to the world would be shot," Fyfe added.
法伊夫补充道：“美国作为世界可靠能源供应商的声誉将一落千丈。”
Removing more than a million barrels of daily American supply would trigger a fierce bidding war among importing nations in Latin America and Europe.
减少超过一百万桶的美国日供应将引发拉丁美洲和欧洲进口国之间的激烈竞购战。
Sarah Raffoul, analytics manager at Argus Media, noted that while higher international prices would eventually curb demand, the immediate gap would severely strain trade relationships and accelerate global inflation.
Argus Media 分析经理莎拉·拉福尔 (Sarah Raffoul) 指出，虽然国际价格上涨最终会抑制需求，但眼前的缺口将严重紧张贸易关系并加速全球通胀。
Trump says he would back ban on diesel exports UK tries to stop Trump's diesel export ban
特朗普表示他将支持禁止柴油出口 英国试图阻止特朗普的柴油出口禁令
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