
Russia ramps up rhetoric but wants to avoid war with Nato, Western officials say
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Russian President Vladimir Putin wants to avoid a direct military confrontation with Nato, despite increasingly hostile rhetoric aimed at the UK and other allies over their support for Ukraine, Western officials believe.
尽管西方官员认为,针对英国及其他盟友因支持乌克兰而出现的日益敌对言论,俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京仍希望避免与北约直接军事对抗。
Some reports have suggested the visit by CIA chief John Radcliffe to Moscow this week was, in part, to warn Russia against a possible attack on a member of the Euro-Atlantic military alliance.
一些报道表明,中央情报局局长约翰*拉德克利夫本周访问莫斯科,部分是为了警告俄罗斯可能对欧洲-大西洋军事联盟成员发动袭击。
But the Western officials, who asked not to be named, said recent warnings from Moscow, including that UK forces could be targeted in future or that its weapons factories could be hit, were "nothing new".
但不愿透露姓名的西方官员表示,莫斯科最近发出的警告,包括英国军队将来可能成为目标,或者其武器工厂可能受到打击,"并不是什么新鲜事"。
They were, they suggested, consistent with Russia's military doctrine to apply pressure on the West.
他们认为,这些措施符合俄罗斯对西方施加压力的军事学说。
The officials suggested that the hostile rhetoric was also a reflection of the growing pressure Putin is facing at home, with slow and costly gains in Ukraine along with the impact of Ukrainian long-range strikes deep inside Russia.
这些官员表示,敌对的言论也反映了普京在国内面临的压力越来越大,乌克兰的缓慢而昂贵的收益以及乌克兰在俄罗斯深处的远程打击的影响。
Putin and his officials have repeatedly dismissed warnings of Russian plans to attack Nato countries as hysteria. And US President Donald Trump appears to believe the Russian leader – saying this week that "he's not going to attack a Nato territory".
普京和他的官员一再将俄罗斯计划攻击北约国家的警告视为歇斯底里。 美国总统唐纳德特朗普似乎相信俄罗斯领导人-本周说"他不会攻击北约领土"。
Not long before launching his full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Putin had given public assurances that he had no intention of attacking Russia's neighbour - despite overwhelming US intelligence that such preparations were in full swing.
在2022年全面入侵乌克兰前不久,普京已经公开保证他无意攻击俄罗斯的邻国--尽管美国有压倒性的情报表明这种准备工作正在全面展开。
However, the senior Western officials said on Friday that Russia would likely continue its "hybrid activity", short of direct military action, using methods such as cyber-attacks, sabotage and even assassination attempts.
然而,西方高级官员周五表示,俄罗斯可能会继续其"混合活动",没有直接的军事行动,使用网络攻击,破坏甚至暗杀企图等方法。
They said that was aimed at breaking Western resolve and support for Ukraine. One official highlighted the risks of that Russian strategy leading to a miscalculation -which could spark a military confrontation.
他们说,这是为了打破西方对乌克兰的决心和支持。 一位官员强调,这种俄罗斯战略可能导致误判的风险——这可能引发军事冲突。
Russia is suspected of being behind a string of recent drone incidents in several Nato countries.
俄罗斯被怀疑是近期多个北约国家一系列无人机事件的幕后黑手。
Earlier this month, a drone loaded with explosives reached a runway in Germany's Leipzig airport - a key logistics hub for transferring military equipment to Ukraine. There is no proof to link the incident directly to Russia, which has denied any role.
本月早些时候,一架装载炸药的无人机抵达德国莱比锡机场的跑道——该机场是向乌克兰转运军事装备的重要后勤枢纽。 目前没有证据将此事件直接与俄罗斯联系起来,俄罗斯否认有任何角色。
It came amid a string of drone sightings over European airports and military bases that began last year and which are also suspected of being the work of Russia, though it again denies this.
此举发生在去年开始的一系列无人机目击事件之际,这些事件也被怀疑是俄罗斯所为,尽管俄罗斯再次否认。
Following the Leipzig incident, the head of France's security services warned that "we must consider the possibility of direct, more violent hostile actions on our national soil".
莱比锡事件后,法国安全部门负责人警告说,"我们必须考虑在我们国家本土可能发生直接且更暴力的敌对行动"。
Still, one Western official said Nato allies should remain calm but not complacent. The UK government has already made clear that recent Russian threats will not deter its support for Ukraine.
不过,一位西方官员表示,北约盟友应保持冷静,但不应自满。 英国政府已明确表示,近期俄罗斯的威胁不会阻止其对乌克兰的支持。
The Western officials said the Ukraine war had "escalated" this year, with both Moscow and Kyiv stepping up their own long-range strike campaigns.
西方官员表示,今年乌克兰战争"升级",莫斯科和基辅都加紧了远程打击行动。
Putin, they said, had not changed his maximalist objectives, despite some signs of increasing frustrations back home.
他们表示,尽管国内的挫败感有所增加,普京并未改变他的极端目标。
They said petrol shortages in Russia were having an impact on support for the war. They believed there was increasing political pressure on the Russian leader, but that this did not pose a critical challenge to his power.
他们表示,俄罗斯的汽油短缺正在影响战争支持。 他们认为俄罗斯领导人面临的政治压力日益增加,但这并未对其权力构成关键挑战。
Russia is still making slow gains in the eastern Donbas region. But it's also facing heavy casualties.
俄罗斯在顿巴斯东部地区仍在缓慢取得进展。 但它也面临着重大伤亡。
The officials said Russia was losing 6,000 more soldiers a month - either killed or wounded - than it can recruit.
官员们表示,俄罗斯每月损失的士兵数量比其招募能力多6000人——无论是阵亡还是受伤。
That said, there is no indication yet that the Kremlin leader will resort to mass mobilisation.
不过,目前尚无迹象表明克里姆林宫领导人会诉诸群众动员。
CIA chief travels to Moscow for unannounced talks, US media reports Drone carrying explosives found at German airport, police say Russia's second-biggest online retailer targeted in Ukrainian strikes Rosenberg: Shortage of petrol but not patriotism as Russians feel growing impact of war Putin can no longer claim victory in Ukraine, Nobel Peace Prize winner tells BBC
据美国媒体报道,中央情报局局长前往莫斯科进行未预告的会谈 警方称,德国机场发现携带爆炸物的无人机 俄罗斯第二大在线零售商成为乌克兰空袭目标 罗森伯格:汽油短缺,但爱国主义并未出现,因为俄罗斯人感受到战争的影响日益加剧 诺贝尔和平奖得主告诉BBC,普京已无法再宣称在乌克兰取得了胜利
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