
Lib Dems leave conference buoyed by Davey's message
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This was a more sombre, more serious, Sir Ed Davey.
这是一个更加阴郁、更加严肃的埃德·戴维爵士。
The stunts - from falling off paddleboards to hurtling down rollercoasters – were scaled back at this year's Liberal Democrat party conference.
在今年的自由民主党会议上,这些特技——从桨板上摔下来到冲下过山车——都被缩减了。
"This is the fight of our lives," he repeatedly told his party. The focus, much like his conference speech last year, was on Reform UK.
“这是我们生命中的战斗,”他反复告诉他的党派。 就像他去年的会议演讲一样,重点是改革英国。
But the announcement he'd held back for his speech was aimed at Conservative-leaning voters: tax cuts worth billions.
但他在演讲中推迟宣布的目标是倾向保守党的选民:价值数十亿美元的减税。
And not just for lower income earners, but for those in the higher 40% rate of tax too.
不仅适用于低收入者,也适用于税率较高的 40% 的人。
Part of the announcement – raising the amount you can earn before you pay income tax altogether – was the same policy Davey's bête noire, Reform UK, announced at their conference a couple of weeks ago.
公告的一部分——提高你在缴纳所得税之前可以赚取的金额——与戴维最讨厌的“英国改革”几周前在他们的会议上宣布的政策相同。
The dividing line he drew was over how it was paid for. Nigel Farage's party would reduce spending on benefits to fund the tax cut.
他划定的分界线是如何支付的。 奈杰尔·法拉奇的政党将减少福利支出,为减税提供资金。
The Lib Dem leader said he would pay for it through the economic growth he believes could be gained by rejoining the EU's Single Market and a customs union.
这位自由民主党领导人表示,他将通过经济增长来支付这笔费用,他相信重新加入欧盟单一市场和关税同盟可以带来经济增长。
Lib Dems vow to end 'computer says no' economy to boost growth Lib Dems call for one-to-one midwife care during childbirth Davey promises tax cuts for millions if UK rejoins EU single market By putting the European Union at the heart of how he would fund his tax cut, the Lib Dems couldn't be drawing a starker contrast with the Brexit-backing Reform UK and a Conservative Party also committed to cutting welfare.
自由民主党誓言结束“计算机说不”经济以促进增长 自由民主党呼吁在分娩期间提供一对一的助产士护理 戴维承诺,如果英国重新加入欧盟单一市场,将为数百万人减税 通过将欧盟置于为减税提供资金的核心位置,自由民主党与支持脱欧的英国改革党和同样致力于削减福利的保守党形成了鲜明的对比。
But the plan is speculative.
但该计划是推测性的。
The Lib Dems insist a deal with the EU could be negotiated within a year if the party was in government after the next election.
自由民主党坚称,如果该党在下次选举后执政,则可以在一年内与欧盟达成协议。
Plenty of economic experts, including the official budget forecaster the OBR, believe the UK's economy could grow if the UK was in the Single Market.
许多经济专家,包括官方预算预测机构 OBR 都认为,如果英国加入单一市场,英国经济可能会增长。
But as recent political history teaches us, negotiating a deal with the European Union is often more difficult than party leaders hope. And basing a tax cut on potential future economic growth is a risky business.
但正如最近的政治历史告诉我们的那样,与欧盟的协议谈判往往比政党领导人希望的更加困难。 根据未来潜在的经济增长来减税是一件有风险的事情。
There is also uncertainty over whether the Lib Dems' sums add up.
自由民主党的总金额是否合算也存在不确定性。
The independent think tank, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said the policy as set out in the press release would cost "much more" than the £17bn the Lib Dems have budgeted for.
独立智库财政研究所表示,新闻稿中提出的政策成本将比自由民主党预算的 170 亿英镑“高得多”。
The party says the tax cut wouldn't come in until the fifth year after the next election.
该党表示,减税要到下次选举后的第五年才会实施。
So even if the party got into power and successfully negotiated an EU deal, the tax cut could be eight years away. But the Lib Dem MPs I spoke to afterwards were less focused on these details than the message it sent to voters.
因此,即使该党上台并成功谈判达成欧盟协议,减税可能还需要八年时间。 但后来我采访的自由民主党议员并没有关注这些细节,而是关注它向选民传达的信息。
Davey came into this conference facing criticism over his leadership from some MPs in private and others in his party in public worrying about the party's ambition and direction. For now those concerns have been dampened.
戴维参加这次会议时,面临着一些议员私下和党内其他议员对他的领导能力的批评,他们公开担心该党的雄心和方向。 目前,这些担忧已经得到缓解。
"That was the speech a lot of us have been waiting for him to give," one Davey-sceptic MP told me afterwards.
“这是我们很多人一直在等待他发表的演讲,”一位对戴维持怀疑态度的议员后来告诉我。
A small number are uncomfortable with the main policy from the party's conference being a tax cut that would most benefit the better off.
少数人对党的会议的主要政策感到不安,即最有利于富人的减税政策。
One told me they would rather the focus had been wooing younger voters by tackling the amount graduates repay in student loans, an old bruise for the Lib Dems. But overall this speech, and this conference, was well received by the Lib Dem faithful.
有人告诉我,他们宁愿把重点放在通过解决毕业生偿还学生贷款的金额来吸引年轻选民上,这对自由民主党来说是一个老伤痕。 但总的来说,这次演讲和这次会议受到了自由民主党忠实信徒的好评。
They are a party honing their messaging before the next general election.
他们是一个在下次大选之前磨练自己信息的政党。
The strategy is primarily on those 27 seats where the Lib Dems came second in 2024.
该战略主要针对自由民主党在 2024 年排名第二的 27 个席位。
Most of them are held by the Conservatives and Davey's tax cuts are aimed at appealing to those voters.
其中大部分由保守党持有,戴维的减税政策旨在吸引这些选民。
But already the attack from the Tories has been that the Lib Dems are "Labour's lapdog". That attack is in part because Davey has given his most explicit answer this week on not going into a coalition government with the Conservatives after the next general election. He's done the same for Reform UK.
但保守党已经开始攻击自由民主党是“工党的走狗”。 这次攻击的部分原因是戴维本周给出了最明确的答案,即下次大选后不会与保守党组成联合政府。 他为改革英国做了同样的事情。
But he hasn't ruled out a pact with Labour. So that attack from the Conservatives will come again and again before the next election. But the Lib Dems leave their Brighton conference buoyed, with sights not just on retaining their record 72 seats won at the last election, but on winning some more.
但他并未排除与工党达成协议的可能性。 因此,保守党的攻击将在下次选举之前一次又一次地出现。 但自由民主党在布莱顿会议上表现出色,他们的目标不仅是保持上次选举中赢得的创纪录的 72 个席位,而且还希望赢得更多席位。
"I've got no ceiling on our ambitions," Davey said this week.
“我们的野心没有上限,”戴维本周表示。
He has already served in government once, in coalition with David Cameron's Conservatives.
他曾与戴维·卡梅伦的保守党联合在政府任职过一次。
His eyes are on another stint in office.
他的目光投向了另一段任期。
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